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Highlights

Changes to soil properties and precipitation scenarios significantly affect the water balance in agro-hydrology.

Abstract. Agricultural practices can change soil properties and the amount of runoff generated from a landscape. Modeling results could be significantly different than expected if the web soil survey or other commonly used remote sensing applications are used as model inputs without site verification. This study assessed the applicability and sensitivity of the Soil-Plant-Air-Water (SPAW) Model for simulating the runoff (%) and infiltration (%) components of the water balance for various soil physical properties, cover crop, and weather variables. Soil profiles in 135 combinations were developed with three soil classes (sandy loam, silt loam, and clay), five organic matter levels (1%, 2%, 3%, 4%, and 5%), three levels of compaction (low, medium, and high), and three topsoil layer thicknesses (7.6 cm, 11.4 cm, and 15 cm). Also, three cover crop treatments were simulated by modifying surface cover and evapotranspiration during the non-growing season. Finally, two precipitation regimes were considered (Iowa City, IA, as high precipitation and Brookings, SD, as low precipitation) to simulate runoff and infiltration. In total, 810 scenarios were run, resulting in over 300 million data points. This study confirmed that soil texture, bulk density, and topsoil thickness significantly (p<0.01) influence runoff generation and infiltration percentage based on the water balance criterion. Interestingly, the SPAW model had no significant response on runoff (%) and infiltration (%) to organic matter levels changing from 1% to 5%. This simulation demonstrates that runoff estimations can be significantly influenced by soil properties that can change due to agricultural conservation practices (ACPs) or, conversely, by compaction events. Inputs to models must account for these changes rather than relying only on historical or remote sensing inputs.