Click on “Download PDF” for the PDF version or on the title for the HTML version. If you are not an ASABE member or if your employer has not arranged for access to the full-text, Click here for options. Estimating Rainfall Probabilities from Average ValuesPublished by the American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers, St. Joseph, Michigan www.asabe.org Citation: Applied Engineering in Agriculture. 2(2): 141-143. (doi: 10.13031/2013.26729) @1986Authors: Zohrab A. Samani, George H. Hargreaves Keywords: Probability of occurrence, Rainfall estimation, Water balance A method is presented to estimate the values of monthly rainfall amount at different probability levels using only average monthly rainfall. First, a relationship is derived between average monthly rainfall and monthly rainfall at 50% probability for the stations with available data. The rainfall estimated at 50% probability and the average rainfall is then used to calculate the shape parameter of the Gamma distribution through an iterative search procedure for stations for which only average values are available. After the shape parameter is calculated, then the rainfall at any other probability level can be estimated. The method is tested for countries of Brazil, India, Cameroon and Central African Republic. It was concluded that when past records are not available, this method can be used to estimate the rainfall probability distribution from average values with reasonable accuracy. (Download PDF) (Export to EndNotes)
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